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2024-12-14 00:36:08

Judging from the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's A-shares can break the curse of Black Thursday, mainly because at 11 o'clock, it announced the great benefits of personal pensions. After-hours, another heavy meeting was held. Although deficit ratio and the ultra-long-term special national debt were mentioned, Lao Liu reminded me that before the small high point of 3494.87 points was not broken, it was not appropriate to blindly chase up.In terms of sectors, except for instruments, semiconductors, optics and optoelectronics, the sectors of other industries generally rose today. Of course, commercial department stores and consumption directions still led the rise. There are several details in the session that need to be noted. After 10 o'clock, consumption stagflation fell, and then the market for drinking and taking medicine resumed. What really reversed the decline was the strength of the big financial collective, which led the index to a wave of turnaround.


To sum up, the repair and rebound in the past two days have not changed the judgment logic of the small high point. Although I am still optimistic about the market outlook, after careful measurement, I find that it is still very difficult to continue to accelerate after the market breaks through a new high. The current price-volume coordination is not supported for the time being. Therefore, I still tend to take the initiative to step back and gain momentum before I enter the acceleration cycle.However, if we continue to shake and consolidate below this point, the risk of the broader market will not be great, so let me remind you that before the logic of judging the small high point has not changed, we can continue to watch more and move less. After all, today's reversal is mainly driven by favorable+mysterious funds entering the market, rather than the real offensive kinetic energy of the market.Emotionally, there are 139 stocks with daily limit, 5 stocks with daily limit and 65 stocks with a drop of more than 5% in the two cities. The data shows that the expected differences were not staged as scheduled because of the favorable stimulus, but the situation of high-standard stocks' nuclear buttons and broken boards continued to deteriorate. At present, the main risks are still focused on stocks that have risen recently, and it is basically safe not to chase after them.


Finally, the 5-day support is still the same, and then focus on 3489.78 points. Today, the Shanghai Composite Index continued to repair and rebound on the 5th line, and at the same time, it has broken through the middle line suppression of the false negative line on Tuesday, but the key point is to see whether the next closing price can stand at 3489.78 points. I still hold the same view as before. If the daily line closes at 3,489.78 points, we should focus on prevention after the departure signal appears.Emotionally, there are 139 stocks with daily limit, 5 stocks with daily limit and 65 stocks with a drop of more than 5% in the two cities. The data shows that the expected differences were not staged as scheduled because of the favorable stimulus, but the situation of high-standard stocks' nuclear buttons and broken boards continued to deteriorate. At present, the main risks are still focused on stocks that have risen recently, and it is basically safe not to chase after them.Judging from the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's A-shares can break the curse of Black Thursday, mainly because at 11 o'clock, it announced the great benefits of personal pensions. After-hours, another heavy meeting was held. Although deficit ratio and the ultra-long-term special national debt were mentioned, Lao Liu reminded me that before the small high point of 3494.87 points was not broken, it was not appropriate to blindly chase up.

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